Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-11 0.063283 0.071462 0.079873 0.089139 0.099031 0.109248 0.120571
2025-05-18 0.050526 0.062751 0.076009 0.091314 0.108360 0.126639 0.147599
2025-05-25 0.042077 0.056706 0.073287 0.093143 0.115967 0.141104 0.170611
2025-06-01 0.033859 0.049524 0.068055 0.091011 0.118148 0.148726 0.185323
2025-06-08 0.027484 0.043614 0.063502 0.088921 0.119724 0.155120 0.198181
2025-06-15 0.024294 0.041258 0.062888 0.091211 0.126178 0.166945 0.217121
2025-06-22 0.021199 0.038612 0.061576 0.092361 0.131042 0.176745 0.233601
2025-06-29 0.019600 0.037815 0.062494 0.096186 0.139091 0.190290 0.254486
2025-07-06 0.017120 0.035444 0.061087 0.096845 0.143076 0.198862 0.269417
2025-07-13 0.017184 0.036859 0.064837 0.104248 0.155570 0.217819 0.296865
2025-07-20 0.014352 0.033466 0.061664 0.102302 0.156063 0.222012 0.306482
2025-07-27 0.013130 0.032508 0.061837 0.104763 0.162148 0.233064 0.324404
2025-08-03 0.010961 0.029805 0.059465 0.103875 0.164148 0.239419 0.337136
2025-08-10 0.009855 0.028847 0.059642 0.106531 0.170865 0.251809 0.357476
2025-08-17 0.008741 0.027709 0.059441 0.108589 0.176763 0.263176 0.376597
2025-08-24 0.006917 0.024852 0.056308 0.106257 0.176631 0.266764 0.385969
2025-08-31 0.005386 0.022244 0.053333 0.103961 0.176397 0.270116 0.394968
2025-09-07 0.004812 0.021652 0.053638 0.106478 0.182729 0.281932 0.414616
2025-09-14 0.004126 0.020644 0.053147 0.107741 0.187299 0.291457 0.431392
2025-09-21 0.003897 0.020748 0.054581 0.111939 0.195974 0.306370 0.455045
2025-09-28 0.003269 0.019646 0.053791 0.112662 0.199754 0.314871 0.470572
2025-10-05 0.003536 0.021121 0.057719 0.120769 0.214000 0.337196 0.503791
2025-10-12 0.002683 0.019119 0.055151 0.118640 0.213716 0.340349 0.512540